2024 3M Open odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions from golf model that's called 13 majors (2024)

With the major events of the golf season in the books, the PGA Tour revisits TPC Twin Cities for the 2024 3M Open beginning on Thursday, with the first tee times coming at 7:45 a.m. ET. Many of golf's biggest names are taking a breather before competing in the Paris Olympics, but the 3M Open field will still be competitive with pros like Tony Finau and Keegan Bradley in the mix. Justin Rose, who finished T2 at the Open Championship last week will also compete at the 3M Open 2024.

Finau won the 3M Open in 2022 and is the 10-1 favorite on the PGA odds board, followed by Sam Burns (18-1), Sahith Theegala (22-1) and Akshay Bhatia (25-1). Before locking in your 2024 3M Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters -- its third Masters in a row -- and this year's PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now with the 2024 3M Open field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 3M Open predictions

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 3M Open: Burns, a five-time winner on the PGA Tour and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn't even crack the top five. Burns has been playing well in recent weeks, finishing T-15 or better in three of his last five starts on the PGA Tour.

However, he has struggled with consistency this season, especially with his iron play. Burns enters this week's event ranked 101st in strokes gained: approach to green (0.016) and 131st in greens in regulation percentage (64.13%). TPC Twin Cities places a premium on precision, which doesn't bode well for Burns' chances to finish on top of the leaderboard. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Tom Hoge, a 33-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 35-year-old has made the cut at this event four of the five times he has competed, and placed in the top-25 in three of those four starts. That includes the 2022 3M Open when he finished T4.

Hoge, who finished T3 at the Travelers Championship last month, is 20th in the FedEx Cup standings heading into the 3M Open 2024 and can gain some ground with many golfers taking the week off ahead of the Olympics. He is second on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: approach to green (0.911) and 25th overall in total strokes gained (0.812). His current form plus the competition in the 2024 3M Open field suggest that he will finish strong at TPC Twin Cities this weekend.See who else to back here.

How to make 2024 3M Open picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 30-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title, including three golfers fetching 60-1 or longer odds finishing inside the top 10. You can only see the model's picks here.

Who will win the 2024 3M Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 3M Open 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 3M Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors this year.

2024 3M Open odds, top contenders

Get full 2024 3M Open picks, best bets and predictions here.

Tony Finau +1000
Sam Burns +1800
Sahith Theegala +2200
Akshay Bhatia +2500
Luke Clanton +2800
Keith Mitchell +3000
Keegan Bradley +3000
Tom Hoge +3300
Billy Horschel +3500
Taylor Pendrith +3500
J.T. Poston +3500
Erik van Rooyen +4000
Maverick McNealy +4000
Cam Davis +4500
Nick Dunlap +4500
Patrick Rodgers +4500
Michael Thorbjornsen +5000
Adam Hadwin +5000
Emiliano Grillo +5500
Kurt Kitayama +5500
Sam Stevens +5500
Justin Rose +5500
Ben Griffin +5500
Mac Meissner +6000
Chan Kim +6000
Jhonattan Vegas +6000
Harry Hall +6000
Rico Hoey +6500
Mackenzie Hughes +6500
Ben James +6500
Matt Wallace +7000
Max Greyserman +7500
Adam Svensson +8000
Neal Shipley +8000
Jake Knapp +8000
Lee Hodges +8000
Patrick Fishburn +8000
Doug Ghim +8000
Andrew Novak +8000
Beau Hossler +8000
Seamus Power +8000
Thriston Lawrence +8000
Austin Eckroat +9000
Ben Silverman +9000
Ryo Hisatsune +9000
Pierceson Coody +10000
Michael Kim +10000
Taylor Moore +10000
Lucas Glover +10000
Kevin Yu +10000
Hayden Springer +11000
J.J. Spaun +11000
Sam Ryder +12000
Dylan Wu +12000
Chesson Hadley +12000
Andrew Putnam +12000
Santiago de la Fuente +12000
Matti Schmid +12000
S.H. Kim +12000
Carson Young +15000
Hayden Buckley +15000
Alex Smalley +15000
Daniel Berger +15000
Gary Woodland +15000
Chandler Phillips +15000
Nate Lashley +15000

2024 3M Open odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions from golf model that's called 13 majors (2024)
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